Thursday, December 31, 2015

Happy New Year: 2015 in Review



What were the five most popular deception stories covered here in 2015?

2015 was an interesting year for news stories that were dissected here at the Statement Analysis blog, including those that brought some controversy, and those that highlighted the science of analysis.  

Regrettably, there are many cases of which I will never address for readers, as they all belong to the investigation and judicial departments.   I report 100% success rate "by resolution"; that is, each case produced something that confirmed the analysis to some measurable degree.  This includes confessions, admissions, failed polygraphs, arrests, plea bargains, closed cases, or final adjudication in court or via board commission.   The cases were all within the continental United States.   In most cases, the analysis guided the investigation, though in several, the analysis 'was' the investigation; that is, the analysis changed the course of the investigation.  In these cases, it was important that strong confirmation was realized, including admission.  These cases were such that the investigators disagreed to some degree, with the analysis, but over time, the analysis proved itself correct.  

Confidence in the science of analysis in each case  where analysis was opposed increased dramatically.  

2015 was the first full year where Hyatt Analysis Services was full time analysis and instruction company.  Prior to this, work done for others was limited by time constraints.  Even with this status, there was not  enough time to analyze  half of the requests received.  

Hopes for 2016 include expanding the company to hire on both part time and full time basis, 
conducting more seminars, (including UK), guest lecturing at Quantico, release of the book of Hailey Dunn's life and death,  finish the new "Statement Analysis and Profiling" book, and the completion of the Advanced Course, which is almost done with the lectures.  

The initial course Statement Analysis course  received excellent reviews, particularly from those who have had other courses and were not satisfied with introductory, elementary, or "101" analysis courses' limit or oversimplification and omission of information.  Many were left with basics, but without the tools to discern sexual abuse cases, mental illness and language, perseveration of past events, PTSD, as well as many of the deeper aspects of analysis including profiling and identifying anonymous authors.    

The successful completion of this course, including assignments, permits one to join an elite group of analysts in monthly, guided training.  

This has led to the establishment of monthly training of which confidential work is done and the results have been remarkable.  This week, alone, our training schedule was 'interrupted' by a shooting case in which an apparent self defense shooting death was analyzed, and quickly changed status to possible murder.   

The work in this group is deep.  It is challenging, exhausting, exhilarating, and rewarding. They test and try us, regularly, and push up deeper and deeper into the complexities of human nature and language.  Criminal psychology emerges naturally as the analysts know the allegation and the statement, with no case details revealed until the analysis is complete.  

The effect is powerful.  

The cases they solved were often complex and they invested exhausting hours into their product, and produced truth and accuracy.  

This has been so inspiring, in fact, that we are currently considering more formal work into cold or unsolved cases for law enforcement.  It is the unsolved cases that cause a stir, and require strong, dedicated leadership and thick-skinned investigators who do not fold under harsh criticism. 

This is because those cleared in the case are sometimes seen by Statement Analysis as the guilty, and the initial investigators who cleared the guilty are not always pleased by the finding.  Therefore, the report must be thorough, concise, and written in a way that will lead to re-opening of the case, and arrests.  The success experienced thus far has fueled more interest in this.  One problem is the solve rate of departments.  

Where should this work be targeted as a priority?

If you said, "in locales where the solve rate is very low", you would be thinking logically.  However, in the very places where solve rates are well below average, some have been this way year after year and they are not open to 'outside' assistance.  Where new leadership is in place is where we will focus our attention and efforts.  It is hard work, but it is work that brings justice and the team of analysts all have solid foundations and talent met with drive.  The potential for success is high.  

We also wish to expand to more corporate work as businesses see immediate results from implementation of lie detection in the interview process.  Although criminal work is rewarding, the losses to business are so deep, that not only does analysis help hire the best and brightest, but it saves more than money and time; it saves reputations.  It is no longer just weeding out thieves but now those who claim to be 'victimized' by a company, who seek money for their fraudulent pain and suffering that has become so popular that must be addressed and remedied.  

Culturally, 2015 continued its downward spiral where deception in media continued, but at, perhaps, a more dramatic clip than in 2014, specifically with Dhimmitude (the submissive posture)  and the criminal ideology of Islamic supremacy.  Main stream or corporate media was more blatant with its propaganda than anything I have read, including propaganda from World War I.

Also continuing throughout 2015 was the acceptance of the 'corporate victim status', another dangerous ideology that fuels loss and institutionalizes envy.  This appears to be continuing and because court cases are important to follow the trend of socialism became even more evident:  business is bad and the workers are victims.   Colleges reinforced this notion to young people who stood in buildings built by hard work and business while complaining of their feelings over imaginary wrongs committed by business.  These were the "delicate snowflakes" who, if you hire them, pose an unnecessary risk for filing complaints against you.  

This is critical for businesses in 2016 as Statement Analysis will spot the "social justice warrior" applying for a job who will, sooner rather than later, create the very event they seek to fight against, with a company caught in a "fake hate" public relations nightmare.  The payouts from companies across the country continued while those who employed analysis were able to successfully avoid all such fraudulent claims.  

There was a strong positive, however, in all of this, in that more Americans have become aware of the propaganda and deception, particularly in media's reporting, as well as in the political realm, and are relying on small, free-internet sources for news.  This includes citizen journalism for without such, as in Europe, citizens would not know the dangers on their streets until it is too late.  This is only a trickle of news, but it is growing.  Where Germany, for example, used the media to lie about "refugees", citizens with iPhones did a great service, forcing the BBC and others to finally admit that the "widow and orphans" were, in many cases, 90% young males, of fighting age, who were not fleeing war.  While Sweden became the rape capital of the West, Germany, little by little, failed to stem the tide of news and its citizens learned how epidemic rape of its women had become.  Germany's corporate media briefly acknowledged that it was not reporting rape, for example, because it did not want to "fuel xenophobic" and "right wing" partisans.  Thus, the media conspired to withhold critical information from the public to protect its political position.  

Regardless of one's political beliefs upon any issue, the study is in deception, including propaganda, and its need to persuade rather than report.  

2015 was also a year where "tolerance" finally became a foe to freedom of speech openly, as America has followed Europe in its departure from its once sacred principle of freedom of speech.  Europe, still years ahead, went from the two propaganda elements to silence criticism (immorality and phobia) to actually legislating against freedom of speech.  America silenced freedom of speech through fascism and even the imposition of sharia blasphemy laws, following the path of both Europe, and of early Nazi Germany.   The pushback of this has been mostly the free internet, which, not surprisingly, has been targeted.  Right now, one may lose his job for using the internet to criticize a government policy or ideology, but he is still able to post it.  Should this freedom be lost, dissension will have to take other routes to express itself.  

The cases covered in 2015 represent a wide variety of human language.  

What were the most popular cases in 2015 here at the Statement Analysis blog?

Up next:  The top five cases reviewed.  

What do you think the five most 'popular' (judging by page views) cases were this year?

31 comments:

mom2many said...

Are you aware of this? https://www.congress.gov/bill/114th-congress/house-resolution/569/text

H. RES. 569

Condemning violence, bigotry, and hateful rhetoric towards Muslims in the United States.
IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
December 17, 2015

Mr. Beyer (for himself, Mr. Honda, Mr. Ellison, Mr. Crowley, Mr. Carson of Indiana, Ms. Norton, Ms. McCollum, Ms. Kaptur, Mrs. Carolyn B. Maloney of New York, Mr. Kildee, Ms. Loretta Sanchez of California, Mr. Rangel, Mr. Peters, Mr. Ashford, Mr. Grayson, Mr. Takai, Mr. Higgins, Mr. Keating, Mr. Grijalva, Ms. Wasserman Schultz, Mr. Butterfield, Mr. Connolly, Mr. Gallego, Mrs. Bustos, Mr. Delaney, Ms. Castor of Florida, Mr. Gutiérrez, Mr. Quigley, Ms. Esty, Mr. Kennedy, Ms. Kelly of Illinois, Ms. Eddie Bernice Johnson of Texas, Mr. Meeks, Ms. Meng, Mr. Al Green of Texas, Ms. Clark of Massachusetts, Mr. Schiff, Mr. Hastings, Mr. Farr, Mr. Pallone, Mr. McDermott, Ms. Lee, Ms. Edwards, Mr. Brady of Pennsylvania, Ms. Wilson of Florida, Mr. Michael F. Doyle of Pennsylvania, Mr. Sires, Ms. DelBene, Ms. Judy Chu of California, Mr. Polis, Mr. Loebsack, Mr. Pascrell, Mrs. Dingell, Ms. Schakowsky, Mr. Cohen, Mr. Hinojosa, Mr. Yarmuth, Ms. Tsongas, Mr. Langevin, Mr. Pocan, Mr. Conyers, Mr. Takano, Mr. Ryan of Ohio, Mr. Serrano, Mr. Johnson of Georgia, Mr. Tonko, Ms. Lofgren, Mr. Van Hollen, Mrs. Capps, Mr. Price of North Carolina, Ms. Matsui, Ms. Moore, and Mr. Heck of Washington) submitted the following resolution; which was referred to the Committee on the Judiciary
RESOLUTION

Condemning violence, bigotry, and hateful rhetoric towards Muslims in the United States.

Whereas the victims of anti-Muslim hate crimes and rhetoric have faced physical, verbal, and emotional abuse because they were Muslim or believed to be Muslim;

Whereas the constitutional right to freedom of religious practice is a cherished United States value and violence or hate speech towards any United States community based on faith is in contravention of the Nation’s founding principles;

Whereas there are millions of Muslims in the United States, a community made up of many diverse beliefs and cultures, and both immigrants and native-born citizens;

Whereas this Muslim community is recognized as having made innumerable contributions to the cultural and economic fabric and well-being of United States society;

Whereas hateful and intolerant acts against Muslims are contrary to the United States values of acceptance, welcoming, and fellowship with those of all faiths, beliefs, and cultures;

Whereas these acts affect not only the individual victims but also their families, communities, and the entire group whose faith or beliefs were the motivation for the act;

Whereas Muslim women who wear hijabs, headscarves, or other religious articles of clothing have been disproportionately targeted because of their religious clothing, articles, or observances; and

cont...

mom2many said...

cont....

Whereas the rise of hateful and anti-Muslim speech, violence, and cultural ignorance plays into the false narrative spread by terrorist groups of Western hatred of Islam, and can encourage certain individuals to react in extreme and violent ways: Now, therefore, be it

Resolved, That the House of Representatives—

(1) expresses its condolences for the victims of anti-Muslim hate crimes;

(2) steadfastly confirms its dedication to the rights and dignity of all its citizens of all faiths, beliefs, and cultures;

(3) denounces in the strongest terms the increase of hate speech, intimidation, violence, vandalism, arson, and other hate crimes targeted against mosques, Muslims, or those perceived to be Muslim;

(4) recognizes that the United States Muslim community has made countless positive contributions to United States society;

(5) declares that the civil rights and civil liberties of all United States citizens, including Muslims in the United States, should be protected and preserved;

(6) urges local and Federal law enforcement authorities to work to prevent hate crimes; and to prosecute to the fullest extent of the law those perpetrators of hate crimes; and

(7) reaffirms the inalienable right of every citizen to live without fear and intimidation, and to practice their freedom of faith.

GeekRad said...

Happy new year and continued success in 2016!

ima.grandma said...

Top Cases ~ 2015

Deorr Kunz, Jr.

Rainn Peterson

Crystal Rogers

Lonzie Barton

Ember Graham

Bill Cosby

Davey Blackburn

Anjelica (AJ) Hadsell


I'm sure on my #1 pick. I'm also sure I've placed the others out of order. Without research, I believe it to be a personally biased list.

Anonymous said...

Without looking at page views, I'll guess: Amanda Blackburn Murder, Bill Cosby Sexual Assault Allegations, and Dylan Farrow's Accusation Against Woody Allen.

Boston Lady said...

Peter, wishing you and your family a healthy and prosperous New Year!

ima.grandma said...

2015 has been a tough year.

As I type this sentence, I think back...

All my years have been tough. That's life.

Life is very long.
TS Eliot

I treasure all my experiences in all their shades of gray.

They've made me who I am.

Everything I'm not has made me everything I am.

I'm good with all that.

Happy new year! Make it count!

Hey Jude said...


DeOrr Kunz
Amanda Blackburn
Moorers/Heather Elvis
Crystal Rogers
William MCollum

Lis said...

The Amanda Blackburn case has the most comments per article of any I've seen over the years I've been following this blog.

I don't have guesses as to the other 4 top cases but I'll be interested to see what they are.

Congratulations on your growing business, Peter!

Child Advocate said...

Peter,

Happy New Year! My daughter will be signing up for the course you recommended for Social Workers this summer. Her course load is too much to attempt during school. I am seriously considering taking it with her.

Many blessings to you and your family. Give C.K. Dexter Haven a nice petting from me. He's named after one of my favorite characters in a favorite movie. I'm sure he's yar.

Child Advocate said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
John mcgowan said...

Happy New Year, one and all.

André Rieu - And The Waltz Goes On (composed by: Anthony Hopkins)

Beautiful!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M57Fi19vcSI

GeekRad said...

I can't wait for the Hailey Dunn book. I will buy 20 copies and send them to LE.

ima.grandma said...

Geek, this is the latest Agreed Order by the Texas Board of Nursing re: BJD.

http://lf.hpc.texas.gov/THP/VieI.ashx?d=n&DID=1812933

GeekRad said...

Thanks for sharing John. It is beautiful indeed.
Immagramma, I am especially glad to share the new year with you. Welcome back!

GeekRad said...

Thank you imaggrandma! I will check it out when I get back on my computer!

trustmeigetit said...

Bill Cosby has been arrested!

http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/30/us/bill-cosby-sexual-assault-investigation-pennsylvania/



trustmeigetit said...

Colby's attorneys statement

"Make no mistake, we intend to mount a vigorous defense against this unjustified charge and we expect that Mr. Cosby will be exonerated by a court of law."

All the could call this was an "unjustified" charge?

Even his lawyers could not make a direct reliable denial against the charges.

Hey Jude said...


Wishing everyone a happy and blessed New Year - good health and success in all your endeavours. ;)

Nice link, John - thanks.

tania cadogan said...

ima.grandma said...

Geek, this is the latest Agreed Order by the Texas Board of Nursing re: BJD.

http://lf.hpc.texas.gov/THP/VieI.ashx?d=n&DID=1812933

December 31, 2015 at 5:57 PM


Hi honey, it comes up as not found for me xx

ima.grandma said...

Hobs, try this one.

https://www.bon.texas.gov/forms/vninq.asp

Input her first and last name in fields and search

Click on board order link

Anonymous said...

Top five below. #1 would have to be non cases such as DB. Of course, others didn't want little baby Rainn found for some odd reason or other...Crystal is a draw as a police officer was involved, and of course celebrity status draws the onlookers.

Bill Cosby

Davey Blackburn
Deorr Kunz, Jr.

Rainn Peterson

Crystal Rogers

John mcgowan said...

"Make no mistake, we intend to mount a vigorous defense against this unjustified charge and we expect that Mr. Cosby will be exonerated by a court of law."

"Make no mistake"

Analysis not needed.

"intend"

Is not to say "They will"

"to mount a vigorous defense against this unjustified charge"

Excluding qualifiers. "This" is close.

"unjustified charge"

Is there a "charge" that is justified?

"expect"

This is a weak statement.

The shortest sentence is always the best. It needs no qualifiers, bolstering, or persuasive language.

Without qualifiers:

We will mount a defense against this charge, and Mr. Cosby will be exonerated by a court of law.

Exact and to the point.

Boston Lady said...

Wow.. so even after BJD was given a suspension and had to go before the board regarding 2008, practicing without a license, she again had an issue? BJD is now supposed to pay $1250 to get her license back, along with still adhering to the first order from 2011.

Very interesting. You would think she would be more careful not to break or miss any filings in order to keep her license in good standing. Instead, she didn't comply.

But, the board gave her yet another chance in Aug 2015. Did she follow thru this time?

http://lf.hpc.texas.gov/THP/Default.aspx?d=n&q={[Nurse%20Board%20Orders]:[license%20number]=%22192287%22}

Sus said...

Top cases

Doerr Kunz
Amanda Blackburn
AJ Hadsell
Rainn Peterson
Julie Baker (not sure that counts as a case. I'd like to lump all the fake hate letters together. I enjoy Peter's analysis of those.)





ima.grandma said...

2015 Top Topics

Islam - Muslims - Supremacist Ideology

Sexual Abuse - Child Abuse - Domestic Violence

Missing Persons - Children

Propaganda - Persuasion Techniques

Police Violence - Black Lives - Obama

Fake Hate

Misha said...

http://www.hlntv.com/shows/morning-express-robin-meade/articles/2016/01/01/cosby-s-wife-camille-to-testify-in-defamation-lawsuit

Bill Cosby's wife will have to testify at a deposition in a defamation lawsuit, brought by seven women who say her husband sexually assaulted them.

This case is unrelated to the criminal case filed against the comedian in Pennsylvania earlier this week.

Yesterday, a judge in Massachusetts denied Camille Cosby's petition to throw out the subpoena .

She'd argued that she shouldn't have to testify against her husband, and answer questions about his sexual habits.

Her attorneys are appealing.

Anonymous said...

BJD: Any woman that would give her own minor child a tattoo shouldn't be practicing anything that requires a license!

Cosby: His wife shouldn't have to testify against him. Surreal! Nor answer questions about his sexual habits! Violation of privacy and marital rights.

Happy New Year!

Hope less people are less interested in gossip and more interested in what really matters this year. (I'm dreamin', I know, but it's more realistic than losing a lot of weight).

John mcgowan said...

OT:

911 recording after Florida mom shot daughter dead thinking she was an intruder reveals her cop husband failed to mention the gunshot



Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3380395/911-recording-Florida-mom-shot-daughter-dead-thinking-intruder-reveals-cop-husband-failed-mention-gunshot.html#ixzz3w0TlM7fw

Trigger said...

My list:

Amanda Blackburn

Crystal Rogers

fake hate

Islamic propaganda

war on law enforcement

race baiting

Anonymous said...

Hoping someone will pass this on to Peter Hyatt.

Starting with January 2016 blog I am unable to access videos, comments or refer back to prior blogs from the January Blog.

His December and prior blog pages are all accessible. I am able to highlight and access videos and comments.