These are questions that are asked via email, postings, or personally.
Q. When did you first say you thought Ayla was deceased?
A. December 2011. It was based upon two things:
1. Behavioral Analysis: Justin DiPietro was not cooperating with police. Police had set up the immediate chance to address the 'kidnapper' via media, and cry out to Ayla. This is a natural and instinctive response from a parent. It does not need to be taught, or even coached (see Marc Klaas on Hailey Dunn). The only thing needed is to have someone facilitate the time and location and help the parent do two things:
a. Personalize the kidnapped victim. This makes the victim "human" to the kidnapper, in an attempt to cause, in the least, humane treatment of the victim. This is where the parent uses the child's name, over and over, and often speaks of a specific medication the child needs.
Justin DiPietro refused.
b. Direct appeal to the kidnapper, including using words of "understanding" and compromise.
Justin DiPietro refused. His statement said he was "emotionally incapable"; the most un-parentlike, and unmanly thing he could possibly say. This was the first signal that he was cowardly involved in the foul play she met. Later, he would confirm this by hiding behind his friend's mother.
2. His statement. His statement referenced Ayla in the past tense. It also said, "contrary to...floating around out there..." using the frightening word "floating."
I presented this statement to LSI's founder, Avinoam Sapir, who asked me what DiPietro did for a living. I told him that he did not work, but was going to a truck driving school. He said, "uh oh" because "truck drivers have their wheels solidly on the ground..." and will use phrases appropriately from this. He said, "searchers need to search water..." which was terribly sad.
Statement Analysis recognizes that a guilty parent will speak of the missing child in the present tense, as they attempt to conceal the crime, but, if they let their guard down, may slip into past tense language. It is something that an innocent parent of a missing child will not do early on in the investigation.
Sadly, within the first weeks of Ayla Reynolds hitting the news, we saw that the father was behaving guilty and his statement indicated that Ayla was dead.
News reports following this only confirmed the Statement Analysis.
Q. Why don't you post sources?
A. Next question.
This is silly, but I will answer it.
If someone wishes to share information, but does not want to be quoted, there is a reason to keep the source confidential. It could be, of course, that the source is lying, which is why we use Statement Analysis. S/A will not pick up error, but willful deception.
They could fear for their jobs.
They could fear repercussions. Remember, we are in a case where someone was not afraid to spill the blood of a child, lie, and seek to cash in on it.
They could fear loss of friendships, reputation, and so on.
Yet, they may care enough to want the information out there.
Q. Who failed their polygraphs?
A. We have heard conflicting reports but it is likely safe to say that both Justin DiPietro and his sister Elisha DiPietro failed theirs. Technically, we say their answers are "sensitive" as they were unable to say that they passed the test.
The conflict is this: some reports say that girlfriend, Courtney Roberts, also failed her polygraph, while other reports say she refused to take it.
However, police were comfortable enough saying that "all three" were deceptive. The means of the deception were withholding information.
One news report, in particular said that all three took the polygraphs and that police would have to give the results.
Q. Didn't Justin DiPietro say "I told the truth" about the polygraph?
A. Yes, he did. He was deceptive in his response about passing it, however. Let's look directly at his statements and use analysis to determine the truth. Statement Analysis not only shows truth and deception, but also gives additional information from the words a person chooses to employ.