Thursday, November 9, 2017
Judge Roy Moore Accusation
A 53 year old woman has accused Judge Roy Moore of sexually molesting her when she was 14 years old.
We do not have enough sample for a definitive conclusion but thus far...
“These allegations are completely false and are a desperate political attack by the National Democrat Party and the Washington Post on this campaign.”
This is not a reliable denial and it assigns motive. Best is,
"I did not molest her" or "I did not touch her sexually" or anything similar.
The written statement from his campaign is even weaker, including "...this garbage is the very definition of fake news.”
Leigh Corfman says she was 14 years old when the then 30 year old judge gave her a ride home, kissed her, and told her how pretty she was. On the second ride, he took her to his home where he took off his own clothes, removed her clothing, and touched her over her bra and underpants, she says, and guided her hand to touch him over his underwear.
Here is one statement from her as she goes into recall:
“I wanted it over with — I wanted out. Please just get this over with. Whatever this is, just get it over.
This statement indicates age sophistication disparity.
Analysis Conclusion can be made when we have larger sample, but thus far, there is no indication of deception in her statement and his statement, both what he said and what was released, are "unreliable."
"Not reliable" often indicates that we need more information as the subject may not have done it, while "unreliable" is stronger as a classification. In this, the analyst classifies it as such and would need to hear a reliable denial to alter this view point.
"Not reliable" is considerably weaker in this sense, and often indicates that the analyst is waiting for the subject to issue a denial. This happens, at times in an interview, when a subject does not realize he is accused.
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