Friday, November 4, 2016

Statement Analysis on ABC's "20/20" November 11, 2016



ABC News program, "20/20" will be covering the case of Nathan Carman, the 22 year old with Asperger's who went on a  deep sea fishing trip with his mother, and reported her lost at sea.  He was rescued by a freighter and picked up by the U.S. Coast Guard after 8 days at sea.

Nathan reported engine problems and losing his mother as his boat sank.

Did he tell the truth about what happened to her?

Tune in Friday night, November 11, 2016, 10PM EST on ABC to learn more.  




The Backstory

Nathan Carman's grandfather was worth a reported $40 million dollars. 

Shortly after his grandmother died of cancer, Nathan's grandfather was murdered.  The grandfather left his estate to his four daughters; one of whom was Nathan's mother.  

Nathan did not take a polygraph and reportedly destroyed his hard drive. 

              He was not charged in his grandfather's death.  

Did Nathan murder his grandfather and now his mother?

Or, is it just a coincidence that he has ended up as a millionaire?

                     Statement Analysis gets to the truth. 

For intensive training in detecting deception, contact Hyatt Analysis Services.

Investigators, analysts, attorneys, human resource professionals, social workers, therapists, journalists and all other professions where discernment of truth from deception is indicated.  

Lie Detection
Content Analysis
Investigative Analysis
Employment Analysis
Psycho-Linguistic Profiling
Threat Assessment Analysis 
Anonymous Author Identification 




16 comments:

Anonymous said...

Here are some of the items on the list of things Clinton had done, in the Clinton campaign’s own words:

“Didn’t protect the U.S. diplomats in Benghazi, Libya who were killed by terrorists”
“Didn’t recognize major terrorist threats until it was too late when she was Secretary of State, like ISIS in Iraq and Boko Haram in Nigeria”
“Says she supports equal pay for women, but in her own Senate office only paid women seventy two cents on the dollar compared to men”
“Says she’s not truly well off even though she and Bill Clinton have made over one hundred twenty million dollars”
“Started a charitable foundation that doesn’t collect on sixty percent of its pledges”
“Supports Barack Obama’s policy of amnesty for illegal immigrants”
“Wasn’t able to account for six billion dollars in taxpayer money when she was Secretary of State”
“Billed taxpayers for first class travel, including a fifteen thousand dollar hotel upgrade for a three bedroom suite in Hawaii”
“Used her position as Secretary of State to reward companies like Boeing that gave to the Clinton Foundation with foreign contracts”
“Gave taxpayer funded no bid contracts to her campaign contributors when she was Secretary of State”
“Charges state universities two hundred thousand dollars per speech”
“Supported NAFTA and now supports new free trade agreements with Asia”
“Has taken over thirty five million dollars in speaking fees, foundation gifts, and campaign contributions from Wall Street”
“Allowed Iran’s nuclear program to triple its uranium enrichment while she was Secretary of State”
“Offered major concessions to Vladimir Putin in Eastern Europe before he invaded Ukraine”
“Has a thirty year history of ethics and corruption investigations like Whitewater and Travelgate”
“Was caught exaggerating her story about landing under sniper fire in Bosnia”

tania cadogan said...

off topic

A woman who hit her 3-year-old daughter on the head with a blunt object and watched her die after refusing to seek medical help, hid the girl's body and then reported her missing five years ago, West Virginia authorities said Friday.

In a criminal complaint, Lewis County investigators said Lena Lunsford also instructed others who were with her at the time to keep quiet about what really happened. The complaint did not name the witnesses.

Lunsford reported Aliayah missing on September 24, 2011.

Now 34, she was arraigned Friday on a charge of death of a child by abuse and jailed with bail set at $250,000. She did not enter a plea.

She was extradited from Florida to face the charges. A defense lawyer was not immediately assigned to her case, court officials said.

After Aliayah vanished, Lunsford spent eight months in prison for welfare fraud and lesser amounts of time on probation violations, records show.

Her parental rights were terminated by the West Virginia courts, and her six other children were put in state custody.

Lunsford was arrested in St Petersburg, Florida on Thursday, on suspicion of killing her daughter Aliayah in West Virginia five years ago.

Lewis County Sheriff's Department, which issued her arrest warrant, would not confirm on Friday morning whether the child's body had been found.

They later said her mother is the only person who knows where her remains are.

She is accused of killing her daughter by striking her over the back of the head with a blunt force object, a police complaint revealed.

'It is great sadness that I report Aliayah Lunsford is deceased. Evidence has come to light that Aliayah was killed by her mother,' said Lewis County Sheriff Adam Gissy.

'I realise there are several questions unanswered however the one question I'm sure is weighing on everyone's mind - have we located Aliayah?

'The investigation has led us to believe that the one person who possesses this knowledge is the person in custody.'

Police believe the mother-of-six hit Aliayah over the head on the day of September 24, the day she was reported later missing, causing her death.

At the time Lunsford claimed her other child saw Aliayah alive in her bed at 6am.

Police say she instructed victims to lie, however, and that witnesses saw her striking the three-year-old.

'The child victim was knowingly and intentionally struck by her mother while inside their residence.

'Present witnesses observed the aforementioned strike and thereafter stated the child victim fell to the ground from the injury sustained to her head,' the complaint, that was obtained by WDTV, read.

Lunsford made no effort to save the girl and did not allow others to give her medical help, it continued.

'Within hours of the strike, the child victim died. Thereafter, the defendant did knowingly and intentionally take steps to conceal the crime.

'These include but are not limited to originating a fictitious narrative regarding the death, destroying evidence, concealing the victim's body, and instructing witnesses to conceal the true circumstances of the victim's death.'

tania cadogan said...

cont.

Hundreds of people looked for the girl including local authorities, the FBI and volunteers after she was reported missing on September 24, 2011.

Her mother, who was pregnant with twins at the time, told police that she had vanished from her bed in their home in Weston, West Virginia, sometime between early and late morning.

She said Aliayah had been vomiting the night before and had 'flu' symptoms. Lunsford claimed to have seen her asleep in her bed in Dora the Explorer pajamas at 6am.

By 9am she said she was missing. Lunsford did not call police for another two and a half hours.

Within hours of the report, however, scores of people had volunteered to help find the girl.

Police conducted diver searches of nearby rivers and combed woodland near the house but never found her.

The search was called off four days later.

Within two weeks of her disappearance, Lunsford was arrested for welfare fraud and her four other children were removed from her care.

Prosecutors expressed fears for their safety in the house which she shared with boyfriend Ralph Lundsford.

After spending eight months in prison she was released on probation but later jailed again for violating it.

Lunsford and her partner have lost all their parental rights to their six children.

In March 2012, investigators said the theory that Aliayah had been taken by an intruder was unlikely.

'The initial concerns of somebody slipping in and taking Aliayah -- a break-in -- we found no evidence of that.

'We were not able to develop that as a theory,' Supervisory Agent John Hambrick told Charleston Gazette Mail at the time.

After leaving jail for her Aliayah's mother is understood to have moved from Virginia, where her other children remain, to Florida.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3907156/Mother-arrested-killing-three-year-old-daughter-struck-girl-head-blunt-object-watched-die-pretending-missing.html

tania cadogan said...

off topic

The defense case for the trial of Justin Ross Harris, accused of leaving his son to die in a hot car in 2014, wrapped up on Friday as the court heard Harris would not be taking to the stand.

'Mr. Harris is going to waive his right to testify,' attorney Maddox Kilgore told the judge as he concluded his defense.

'I'm confident that he understands he has that right. It is personal to him and only he can make that decision. There is no 'do-over'. This is his one and only trial. He is aware of his right. He does not want to testify.'

The jury heard from a digital forensics expert Friday morning, who said Harris liked Orange is the New Black series on Netflix and was a fan of the Reddit website.

Harris, of Marietta, Georgia, searched the internet for articles on college football, guitars, web development, video games and religious praise music.

But contrary to investigators' previous claims his computer web histories didn't reveal any searches by Harris about 'hot car deaths' or 'how hot a vehicle must be for a child to die inside it,' according to Scott Moulton, an expert in digital forensics and data recovery.

Moulton testified Friday as the final witness for the defense of Harris, 35, whose 22-month-old son Cooper died in the back seat of the family Hyundai Tucson in June 2014.

Investigators provoked a storm when they said in the months before the trial that Harris had Googled the phrase 'how long it takes a dog to die in a car'.

It also emerged during the prosecution testimony last month that he watched a YouTube video about the dangers of leaving animals in hot cars, which Harris watched just five days before his own son died in the back of his family SUV.

But in cross testimony by Kilgore, lead investigator Detective Phil Stoddard admitted Harris had told police in questioning that he had watched the video, and that he had been led to it by Reddit rather than searching it out himself.

And Moulton told the court his forensic data recovery of Ross Harris' computers did not reveal any searches for 'murder, homicide, divorce, cruelty to children or criminal defense lawyers.'

Moulton did extensive forensic examinations of a Lenovo PC that was Harris' work computer at Home Depot, as well a MacBook laptop which was Harris' personal computer.

Defense attorney Carlos Rodriguez noted earlier testimony from state's witnesses that data had been deleted from Harris' computers prior to his arrest, but Moulton told the jury 'there was ample data on both computers.'

The 'hot car' items that appeared on earlier examinations were the result of an internet search by Harris for 'why is it hazy when it's hot?'

Moulton said a site Harris viewed had nothing to do with the temperature inside a parked car. It explained why haze appeared in the air when looking at the Atlanta skyline on a hot day, he said.

Moulton added he has worked on divorce cases, but in Harris' case he did not find any searches for 'divorce lawyers, alimony or criminal defense attorneys.'

But in cross examination that at times seemed agitated, Moulton confirmed Harris searched for 'age of consent' on his phone, as well as 'Young and Wild' and 'Casual Encounters in Atlanta' websites on the day before Cooper died as well as June 18, the day itself.

He confirmed to prosecutor Jesse Evans that he found a link to a Reddit website on 'watching people die.' He said Harris routinely 'cut and pasted' and forwarded content to his friends. Some of it was 'not tasteful,' he added.

tania cadogan said...

cont.

cont.

The final evidence in the trial was presented as prosecutors called Detective Ed Stockinger as a rebuttal witness Friday. He was tasked with the death notification to Cooper's mother and recorded his interview with Leanna Harris at the Tree House where Ross Harris worked.

The jury heard a recording of Leanna Harris - now known as Leanna Taylor since the couple divorced earlier this year - on her mobile phone as she broke the news to her mother.

'Cooper's not with us anymore. Ross forgot to drop him off at the day care and he was left in the car all day,' she explained to a hysterical voice on the other end.

Det. Stockinger told the jury she wasn't emotional and didn't cry.

'I don't know if it's sunk in for her yet,' Stockinger was heard to comment to other investigators.

'Her mom was just blowing up hysterical on the phone,' he said in the taped interview.

'She hasn't shed a tear yet. She's not showing any signs of I don't give f***' the recording continued.

'She was not emotional,' Stockinger emphatically stressed to the jury. Over his years of experience, he said, Taylor was 'the first parent that was not broken down or hysterical,' at learning of her child's death.

'All she asked about was seeing Ross,' and not her child, he said.

Taylor could be heard saying to investigators, 'This can't be happening. I need for this day not to have happened.

'We talked about it a lot. It's always been a big fear of mine,' Leanna told police. 'You hear about it on the news.

'I just don't know how we're going to make it though this.

'Ross is never going to forgive himself. I just really hope I wake up and it's a bad dream,' Taylor said as she was driven to Cobb County police headquarters.

Final arguments will be presented Monday morning, Judge Clark told the jury before dismissing them for the weekend.
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That rounded off a week in which a series of defense witnesses pleaded Harris' case. A memory expert was drafted in on Thursday, as Harris tries to prove that he simply forgot his son was in the back seat the day the child died.

Dr. Gene Brewer, Ph.D, a psychologist, memory expert and professor at University of Arizona, said that a number of factors could have caused Harris to forget his son was in the car.

It might have been the U-turn and traffic outside the Chick-fil-A restaurant where the father and son breakfasted. Or the fact that Cooper Harris woke his dad at 5:30 that morning, Brewer said.

It could have been Harris' stress and frustrations with his job, or external distractions, or the routine and habit of driving a well-worn path to work, or even false memory, he testified.

Prosecutor Chuck Boring asked if Brewer was aware of the late-night and early-morning texts from Harris to women in the days before Cooper died.

'Doesn't it appear he got less sleep on those nights than he did the night before the 18th?' he asked.

'Absolutely,' Brewer said. He characterized Harris as a 'night owl.'

'I thought he had just one night of less sleep but it looks like he had multiple nights of not sleeping as well,' he said.

Harris slept more on the night before his son died 'probably because he was fatigued.' he said.


tania cadogan said...

cont.

Brewer had earlier told the court this case was similar to others where parents had accidentally left a child in a car. He said there was nothing unique about this case.

Lead prosecutor Chuck Boring challenged that claim, noting that Harris returned to his car during the middle of the day to toss light bulbs in his car and had also exchanged text messages with an unknown woman shortly before putting Cooper in his car seat, writing 'I love my son and all but we both need escapes.'

Brewer said that he was unaware of anything like that happening in other cases.

Jurors have already heard how the married Harris had a 'double life' - a life that included multiple sex partners, a prostitute and an obsession with sexting other women and exchanging graphic images of genitals.

'I love my son and all, but we both need escapes,' Ross Harris texted a young woman on June 18, 2014, ten minutes before he arrived at his Home Depot office, locked Cooper in the car and headed inside.

Prosecutor Chuck Boring questioned Billy Kirkpatrick, who told jurors he was 'best friends' with Harris. He and several other friends testified that Harris told them he was having problems with a pornography obsession.

'I saw him struggle with sexual sin,' Kirkpatrick said. 'He and I would have conversations' about what his issues were.

On Tuesday Harris' ex-wife Leanna detailed the couple's struggles. She told the court how doctors discovered Harris had low levels of testosterone and prescribed testosterone injections and patches earlier in their marriage. He improved over time, she said.

What Taylor didn't know was that her husband was using Skype and Craigslist to set up meetings with men and women in the following years.

'That was a part of his personality that he did not share with me,' she said.

Harris faces life in jail if found guilty.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3906238/Ross-Harris-not-testify-defense-lawyers-wrap-case.html

Anonymous said...

Tania,
I just wonder what kind of escape a toddler needs.

Madison said...

For the record guys:

"Mr. Harris is going to waive his right to testify,' attorney Maddox Kilgore told the judge as he concluded his defense."

That is "pleading the fifth.

"Lewis County Sheriff's Department, which issued her arrest warrant, would not confirm on Friday morning whether the child's body had been found."

That is not "pleading the fifth."

Anonymous said...

your on 20/20 ???

do you talk a lot about lie detection? what about autism? does that change things?

Anonymous said...

also is it available on line? is 10pm or 7pm?

Sane said...

Peter how did you end up on 20/20 on this case ? Are you able to share the information with us? You had some analysis on this case and then it went *ppof* and at fist I though I was going crazy but then others said the same thing. Are you going to re put up your analysis for us? This is a case that has lots of money and intrigue like a movie.

tania cadogan said...

Anonymous said...

Tania,
I just wonder what kind of escape a toddler needs.

November 4, 2016 at 10:50 PM


I agree.
We know harris wanted escape from the chores of parenthood, the responsibilities, the lack of freedom parenthood entails with young children.
He wanted a child free life, a life only possible with divorce and all the costs entailed or the loss of his child via other means.

I wonder if his son needed to escape from his father?
Was there perhaps surreptitious abuse, emotional abuse, perhaps physical, not as in beating but rather subtle means, rough handling, delayed diaper changing, as we now know, strapping him tightly into his now too small car seat.
Punishment for perhaps soiling himself so he can sit in his own mess, you wanna mes around in the car then i will make sure you don't by strapping you in too tight.

Leaving him in his car seat to die on a hot day was the culmination of harris testing the waters.
How far could he go before he was caught?
How far could he go before he backed down for fear of being caught in the act or fear of the consequences.

I suspect he had tested the waters before, leaving him in the car perhaps to pop into the store or needing to go back into the house to collect some forgotten item and leaving his son strapped in for minutes at a time.

This was not an on the spur of the moment crime.
This was not something decided on the day.
This was something he had to build the courage up to do.
This was something needing planning in order to claim he forgot.

I wonder if he had tried this before, a test run so to speak in order to know where to park, the timings, the excuses and then to actually drop his son off at the kindergarten.

I am a suspicious Hobs

Nic said...

You're going to be on 20/20? Congratulations, Peter!

Nic said...

tania,

re Lunsford's case. I wonder if Lunsford's other kids ("victims") are the witnesses, per:

"Police say she instructed victims to lie, however, and that witnesses saw her striking the three-year-old.

'The child victim was knowingly and intentionally struck by her mother while inside their residence.

'Present witnesses observed the aforementioned strike and thereafter stated the child victim fell to the ground from the injury sustained to her head,' the complaint, that was obtained by WDTV, read.

Lunsford made no effort to save the girl and did not allow others to give her medical help, it continued.

__________

Who else would have been in the house that she could control (threaten?) like that?

tania cadogan said...

Nic said...

tania,

re Lunsford's case. I wonder if Lunsford's other kids ("victims") are the witnesses, per:

"Police say she instructed victims to lie, however, and that witnesses saw her striking the three-year-old.

'The child victim was knowingly and intentionally struck by her mother while inside their residence.

'Present witnesses observed the aforementioned strike and thereafter stated the child victim fell to the ground from the injury sustained to her head,' the complaint, that was obtained by WDTV, read.

Lunsford made no effort to save the girl and did not allow others to give her medical help, it continued.

__________

Who else would have been in the house that she could control (threaten?) like that?


The other children?

How better to control a witness than to say if you say anything to anyone, the same will happen to you.
You will never be found.
I got away with it once i will get away with it again.

or

If you tell anyone you will go to jail for ever because you were there and let it happen/it was your fault, if you had done as i told you i wouldn't have gotten angry...

Or

It is our secret, you don't want mommy to go away/ you don't want to be taken away from me do you?

Or

If you keep this little secret then mommy will buy you...

You get my drift?



Threats, promises, bribes can all silence a witness.

What, i wonder prompted them to speak out now?

Nic said...

Exactly.

Maybe we can ask Peter for an "up tiK" button for Christmas?

The threads would be so much more brief. :0)

Cheers, mon amie and kitties, too.